Vilhena vs União Cacoalense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ARI
1 - 0
VIL
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
PAL
9%
17%
74%
|
40 | 82 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 4
BRA
18%
24%
58%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
PAR
61%
20%
18%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
VIL
70%
20%
10%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
União Cacoalense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
CAC
5 - 1
PAR
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 1
CAC
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAC
3 - 3
ROL
29%
24%
47%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ARI
3 - 1
CAC
66%
19%
14%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CAC
2 - 1
PIM
17%
19%
65%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |