Vilhena vs União Cacoalense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
+117%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
VIL
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ARI
0 - 0
VIL
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
GEN
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
ROL
0 - 2
VIL
28%
24%
49%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
ESP
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
União Cacoalense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
GEN
3 - 0
CAC
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 5
ARI
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 0
CAC
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAC
2 - 1
ROL
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
7 - 2
CAC
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |