Rondoniense Inicial Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Vilhena vs SC Ulbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 0
JAR
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
VIL
3 - 0
PIM
76%
14%
9%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ULB
1 - 1
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2007 |
VIL
4 - 1
GEN
59%
20%
21%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 2
VIL
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SC Ulbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
GEN
1 - 1
ULB
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
CAC
3 - 3
ULB
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ULB
1 - 1
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2007 |
JAR
0 - 0
ULB
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
ULB
0 - 0
PAR
70%
17%
12%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |