Vilhena vs Gênus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+151%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 2
VIL
22%
20%
58%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAC
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
POR
4 - 2
VIL
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
BRO
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 3
VIL
15%
18%
68%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Gênus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BRO
3 - 1
GEN
57%
22%
22%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 1
PAR
19%
23%
58%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
GEN
0 - 1
CAC
20%
24%
57%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 2
GEN
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 3
VIL
15%
18%
68%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |