Vilhena vs Gênus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-177%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ROL
2 - 2
VIL
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
VIL
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 0
ARI
55%
21%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 3
AVA
10%
19%
71%
|
39 | 76 | 37 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 0
NAU
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gênus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 3
ESP
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
ARI
1 - 0
GEN
62%
20%
19%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
MOT
2 - 1
GEN
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ARI
3 - 2
GEN
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
GEN
0 - 6
ROL
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -2 |