Vilches vs Real Jaén B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
PAL
3 - 2
VIL
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FUE
2 - 3
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 3
MAN
33%
26%
40%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
UDT
1 - 2
VIL
22%
25%
54%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 4
NER
64%
20%
17%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 2
MAN
16%
25%
59%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
UDT
2 - 0
RJA
28%
25%
47%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
NER
34%
26%
40%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BEN
0 - 0
RJA
70%
18%
12%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RJA
8 - 1
ALC
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |