Vilches vs Quesada C.D. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
BEA
2 - 1
VIL
13%
21%
66%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 1
ORC
88%
9%
4%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
LIN
0 - 1
VIL
23%
26%
50%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
VIL
3 - 1
VIL
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
VIL
0 - 1
VIL
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Quesada C.D.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
UBE
1 - 2
QUE
66%
19%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
QUE
1 - 1
BEA
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
QUE
5 - 2
CLO
28%
24%
48%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
ORC
2 - 2
QUE
39%
25%
36%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
QUE
2 - 2
CDU
15%
20%
66%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +1 |