Vilches vs C.D. Útica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
MEN
1 - 2
VIL
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
VIL
5 - 1
CLO
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 4
CAZ
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
CDR
2 - 0
VIL
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 2
PUE
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
C.D. Útica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
CDU
0 - 0
CDR
28%
25%
47%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
PUE
4 - 1
CDU
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
CDU
1 - 2
BAE
16%
21%
64%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
LCA
5 - 1
CDU
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
CDU
1 - 7
MAR
24%
24%
52%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |