Vilches vs C.D. Navas San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CDT
3 - 3
VIL
44%
24%
32%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
PUE
61%
19%
19%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ILI
1 - 2
VIL
48%
24%
29%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 2
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 1
JOD
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Navas San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CDN
4 - 0
CAR
29%
24%
47%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
JOD
3 - 0
CDN
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CDN
3 - 0
LAG
33%
23%
44%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
BAE
1 - 0
CDN
80%
14%
7%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CDN
1 - 5
UBE
26%
24%
50%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |