Vilches vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+159%
+135%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
LIN
0 - 1
VIL
83%
12%
6%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ILI
1 - 0
VIL
80%
14%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 0
LAG
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
CLO
2 - 2
VIL
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
VIL
5 - 0
CDU
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
BAE
5 - 1
BEA
44%
25%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAE
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
BAE
2 - 3
ILI
14%
22%
64%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
LAG
1 - 2
BAE
21%
24%
56%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
BAE
3 - 1
CLO
77%
16%
7%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |