Vilches vs Atlético Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
PJI
0 - 0
VIL
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 2
CDR
42%
27%
31%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
VIL
3 - 0
VIL
56%
22%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
VIL
3 - 0
BAI
24%
25%
52%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
PUE
2 - 1
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 0
BET
28%
25%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
CDR
2 - 2
ATL
65%
22%
13%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
ATL
1 - 2
BAI
21%
25%
54%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
CDV
1 - 1
ATL
47%
25%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
ATL
1 - 2
MAR
19%
26%
55%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |