Vilches vs Atlético Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
CDU
8 - 0
VIL
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 4
MEN
38%
23%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CLO
1 - 2
VIL
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CAZ
2 - 2
VIL
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDR
54%
22%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 2
CDR
34%
27%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
PUE
4 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
7%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 2
BAE
17%
22%
61%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
LCA
1 - 1
ATL
71%
18%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 2
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -2 |