Vilaverdense FC vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.3%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MON
0 - 3
VIL
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 2
FEL
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 3
TAI
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MIR
2 - 1
VIL
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
MER
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CDT
0 - 4
MAR
39%
22%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
SMA
9%
15%
76%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
OSL
1 - 2
MAR
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 0
UEQ
68%
18%
15%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
TRO
9%
15%
76%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |