Vilaverdense FC vs FC Felgueiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
BOA
21%
25%
54%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
BRA
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
VIL
16%
22%
63%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
MEL
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
VIL
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FC Felgueiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
VAR
2 - 2
FEL
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
FEL
2 - 1
ALV
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ESP
1 - 0
FEL
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
FEL
3 - 2
GON
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
OLH
0 - 1
FEL
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |