Vilaverdense FC vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
7º
2º
25
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 4
BEL
17%
21%
62%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 0
VIL
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 1
PAR
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
CAN
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VSC
1 - 2
VIL
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 1
VAR
12%
23%
65%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
FAF
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
FAF
37%
25%
39%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FAF
1 - 1
SAN
34%
27%
40%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 0
FAF
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |