Vilaverdense FC vs Canelas 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
10.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
7º
2º
30
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VSC
1 - 2
VIL
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 2
VIL
61%
24%
15%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
7 - 0
OLI
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAO
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
VIL
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 2
VAR
20%
27%
53%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAN
50%
27%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 1
MON
70%
18%
13%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAN
57%
25%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
FEL
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |