Vilar Formoso vs Sabugal SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
71.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+503%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilar Formoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 0
VIL
32%
24%
45%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
GUA
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 1
VIL
83%
12%
5%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 3
TRA
19%
21%
60%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AGU
0 - 1
VIL
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Sabugal SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SAB
3 - 0
OVI
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MED
1 - 1
SAB
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SAB
4 - 1
PAL
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GIN
1 - 4
SAB
11%
18%
72%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PIN
1 - 0
SAB
17%
20%
63%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |