Vilar de Perdizes vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
70%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
14º
6º
44
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilar de Perdizes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
FAF
5 - 1
VPE
78%
15%
7%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
VIA
0 - 1
VPE
64%
21%
16%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VPE
0 - 3
VIL
13%
20%
67%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ABA
1 - 1
VPE
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VPE
1 - 1
SCV
24%
22%
53%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
TIR
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
TIR
78%
17%
6%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
TIR
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TIR
3 - 2
BSC
63%
20%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 1
TIR
59%
23%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |