Vilar de Perdizes vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
14º
6º
25
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 51% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 49% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilar de Perdizes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 0
VPE
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VPE
1 - 1
SMA
23%
22%
55%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
VPE
59%
20%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VPE
3 - 1
VIA
14%
19%
67%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +4 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TIR
0 - 2
VPE
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
MER
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PED
3 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
AMA
24%
24%
52%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 3
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
DUM
40%
22%
37%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |