Vilanova D'Alcolea vs Cinctorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
47.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilanova D'Alcolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIL
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
BEN
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SAL
4 - 2
VIL
70%
17%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CIN
5 - 0
CLU
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CIN
3 - 1
CLU
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
CIN
38%
22%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CIN
4 - 1
TRA
12%
18%
70%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAT
2 - 0
CIN
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |