Vilanova D'Alcolea vs Calig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
69.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilanova D'Alcolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 2
TIR
65%
19%
15%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIL
41%
24%
35%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 2
CLU
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CIN
0 - 1
VIL
40%
24%
37%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 1
VIL
77%
15%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 2
CAL
48%
22%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
ATZ
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 1
ALB
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CLU
1 - 6
CAL
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
4 - 1
VIN
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |