Vilanova D'Alcolea vs Calig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilanova D'Alcolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
TIR
2 - 1
VIL
36%
22%
42%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 3
BEN
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BOR
2 - 1
VIL
44%
22%
34%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
5 - 2
CIN
81%
13%
7%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 2
VIL
49%
21%
30%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 4
VIN
26%
22%
53%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ESP
4 - 0
CAL
32%
22%
46%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 3
ALB
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CLU
1 - 2
CAL
14%
19%
68%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 4
TRR
24%
21%
55%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |