Vilanova D'Alcolea vs Peñiscola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
75.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilanova D'Alcolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 0
VIL
88%
9%
4%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
BNC
9%
15%
76%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 3
VIL
54%
20%
26%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
ATZ
45%
22%
33%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 1
VIL
84%
10%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Peñiscola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 0
TRR
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 5
PEN
24%
20%
57%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAL
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CLU
0 - 7
PEN
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 0
VAL
37%
22%
41%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |