ENH Vilankulo vs Incomáti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
35.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ENH Vilankulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2019 |
FEN
2 - 0
VIL
48%
29%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
LIG
28%
31%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MAX
1 - 1
VIL
49%
29%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
FER
33%
32%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
COS
31%
33%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Incomáti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2019 |
IDX
2 - 1
FER
44%
31%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
DMA
0 - 0
IDX
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
IDX
3 - 1
FER
34%
30%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
DES
1 - 0
IDX
44%
28%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
IDX
1 - 1
FCC
40%
29%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |