ENH Vilankulo vs FC Chibuto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
42.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ENH Vilankulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
HCB
4 - 2
VIL
54%
29%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
COS
33%
31%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TEX
1 - 1
VIL
54%
27%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MAX
1 - 0
VIL
52%
29%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
LIC
34%
30%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Chibuto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
FCC
2 - 1
MAX
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FCC
0 - 0
DES
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 0
FCC
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 1
FER
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
FCC
20%
28%
52%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |