ENH Vilankulo vs Costa do Sol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ENH Vilankulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TEX
1 - 1
VIL
54%
27%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MAX
1 - 0
VIL
52%
29%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
LIC
34%
30%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
DES
0 - 0
VIL
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
COS
2 - 0
MAX
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LIC
1 - 0
COS
44%
29%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
COS
1 - 0
DES
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 2
COS
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
COS
2 - 1
FER
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |