Vilafranquense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
LEX
1 - 1
VIL
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
RIO
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 0
VIL
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
ACA
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACV
40%
28%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 2
VAR
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
FEI
17%
25%
59%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
ESA
0 - 0
VAR
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 1
FAR
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |