Vilafranquense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ARO
3 - 0
VIL
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
LEX
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
EST
3 - 1
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
MAF
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
CHA
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 3
VIZ
24%
27%
50%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 0
VAR
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
COV
2 - 1
VAR
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 1
BEN
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
ACV
0 - 1
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |