Vilafranquense vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
EST
3 - 1
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
MAF
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
CHA
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
PEN
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
LEX
2 - 0
PEN
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 1
LEX
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
LEX
0 - 4
VIZ
32%
28%
41%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 1
LEX
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LEX
1 - 1
COV
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |