Vilafranquense vs G.D.R. Gafetense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ANG
2 - 1
VIL
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PRA
3 - 1
VIL
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
PAÇ
5%
14%
81%
|
36 | 82 | 46 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
TOR
23%
26%
52%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAF
17%
25%
58%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
G.D.R. Gafetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GDR
0 - 1
TOR
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MAF
3 - 0
GDR
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GDR
1 - 3
LUS
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GDR
3 - 1
GDA
80%
13%
8%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 1
GDR
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |