Vilafranquense vs Belenenses SAD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BOA
1 - 0
VIL
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIT
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 1
VIL
20%
26%
54%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
TON
29%
27%
45%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ESA
1 - 1
VIL
42%
28%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 2
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 3
BOA
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 1
BEL
25%
28%
48%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
4 - 0
MAC
87%
10%
4%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 3
ESA
48%
26%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |