Vilafranquense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 2
VIL
9%
20%
71%
|
51 | 16 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
PEN
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BEN
4 - 1
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
7 - 0
OLE
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
AMO
1 - 2
VIL
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 1
CAL
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
ADN
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
OLE
1 - 1
CAL
34%
27%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 0
PEN
67%
21%
12%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
BEL
8%
18%
74%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |