Vilafranca vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
MNC
2 - 0
VIL
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATB
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
FER
1 - 1
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
VIL
2 - 1
CFP
59%
22%
20%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
PBL
1 - 0
VIL
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
PBL
4 - 1
CDC
58%
24%
18%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
FER
3 - 2
PBL
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
PBL
2 - 1
SNF
57%
24%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
CDG
1 - 1
PBL
43%
26%
32%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
PBL
2 - 1
MNC
40%
27%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |