Vilada vs Casserres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
80.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CLL
10 - 0
VIL
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
AVI
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SSC
4 - 0
VIL
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 3
PUI
11%
14%
75%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 0
VIL
72%
15%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SLM
0 - 8
CAS
12%
16%
73%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
SFS
64%
18%
18%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
CAS
40%
22%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
CLL
59%
19%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AVI
0 - 0
CAS
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |