Vilada vs Casserres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
57.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AVI
5 - 1
VIL
77%
13%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 3
AVI
27%
20%
53%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 3
VIL
44%
20%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
SLM
42%
20%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIL
74%
15%
12%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
GIR
18%
19%
63%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 2
PUI
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
AVI
2 - 1
CAS
54%
21%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
AVI
39%
23%
38%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAS
31%
21%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |