Vila-Seca vs Morell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila-Seca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GAV
0 - 1
VSC
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
VSC
2 - 1
CUB
46%
22%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
VSC
2 - 2
CFA
45%
23%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
UDV
0 - 1
VSC
25%
23%
53%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
ALD
0 - 2
VSC
26%
23%
52%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MOR
2 - 7
GAV
9%
17%
74%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PMA
4 - 1
MOR
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
NSA
5 - 0
MOR
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MOR
1 - 3
JYM
9%
15%
76%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
UDV
5 - 1
MOR
68%
18%
14%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |