Vila Real vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.2%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.9%
75.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
18.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.6%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
14.7%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
TOR
56%
24%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
AVE
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
ADO
42%
24%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SMA
2 - 1
VIL
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 0
GAL
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 0
TON
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
VST
0 - 2
FCP
13%
22%
65%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
S04
1 - 1
FCP
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |