Vila Real U19 vs Chaves U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
72%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
8º
10º
10º
43
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OSL
2 - 0
VIL
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
AMA
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
MER
26%
21%
54%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 0
VIL
78%
13%
8%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 2
MIR
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 0
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
CHA
38%
26%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OSL
0 - 2
CHA
25%
21%
54%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
5 - 2
AMA
76%
14%
9%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 0
TRF
62%
19%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |