Vila Real U19 vs Amarante U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
76.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
8º
8º
24
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 23 |
3º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
TRF
2 - 1
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 3
VIL
7%
14%
79%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
OSL
4 - 0
VIL
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
MIR
29%
22%
49%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
VIL
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 2
MIR
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
TRF
1 - 3
AMA
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
AMA
3 - 1
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
AMA
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MER
2 - 3
AMA
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |