Vila Nova vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ANA
0 - 0
VIL
18%
24%
59%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
3 - 0
CAP
70%
19%
12%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
CUI
1 - 2
VIL
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
OES
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 0
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
JAR
2 - 0
ANA
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
JAR
1 - 1
GRE
25%
23%
53%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
JAR
1 - 0
AME
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
APA
1 - 2
JAR
30%
22%
49%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
JAR
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |