Vila Nova vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAH
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2008 |
PAR
0 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 2
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 0
CRI
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 1
JUV
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
COR
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2008 |
GAM
0 - 4
SAN
41%
26%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 1
CRB
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2008 |
PPE
2 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
42%
27%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |