Vila Nova vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
GRE
0 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
VIL
4 - 1
CRI
43%
25%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
GUA
4 - 0
VIL
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 1
SAN
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
PAU
3 - 0
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
CEA
4 - 1
PAU
36%
27%
38%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
PAU
1 - 1
GAM
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
CRI
1 - 2
PAU
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
PAU
1 - 1
CAX
69%
19%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |