Vila Nova vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
31.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
FFL
0 - 0
VIL
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 2
BRA
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 1
VIL
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 2
COT
21%
27%
52%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
AMF
2 - 0
VIL
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
OPE
1 - 0
CRI
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
OPE
1 - 1
ATL
25%
28%
47%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
COT
0 - 0
OPE
62%
24%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
OPE
2 - 1
SAO
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
CRB
0 - 0
OPE
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |