Vila Nova vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GOI
3 - 0
VIL
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
GOI
22%
22%
56%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
CRA
63%
20%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
VIL
33%
24%
43%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 2
GOI
22%
22%
56%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
OES
4 - 2
ITU
42%
26%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 4
OES
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
OES
0 - 3
COR
13%
26%
61%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
COM
0 - 2
OES
43%
25%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
OES
2 - 1
PAU
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |