Vila Nova vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
29.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
LON
2 - 2
VIL
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
TOM
56%
27%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ITU
3 - 1
VIL
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
FLU
3 - 2
VIL
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
NOV
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 1
NAU
15%
19%
67%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 2
NAU
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 0
OPE
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 1
RFC
71%
17%
13%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |