Vila Nova vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 1
VIL
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
AVA
24%
30%
47%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 2
VIL
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIT
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LON
1 - 0
VIL
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
VIT
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 1
NAU
51%
27%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
NAU
0 - 1
CRZ
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 0
NAU
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |