Vila Nova vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 2
VIL
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
JEC
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
PAY
2 - 2
VIL
51%
25%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 4
CEA
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 2
VIL
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NAU
0 - 1
CRI
55%
24%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
OES
0 - 0
NAU
33%
29%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 0
TUP
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 1
AVA
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
GOI
4 - 2
NAU
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |