Vila Nova vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LUV
2 - 0
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 2
POR
17%
26%
57%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 2
VIL
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 1
VAS
9%
22%
69%
|
50 | 82 | 32 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
OES
1 - 3
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 0
BRA
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PPE
2 - 0
NAU
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
ARN
34%
27%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
NAU
3 - 2
OES
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LUV
0 - 2
NAU
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |