Vila Nova vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 1
VIL
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 0
SAO
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 2
ICA
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
VIL
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 0
VIL
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
NAU
3 - 2
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
ICA
1 - 2
NAU
36%
26%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 0
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 0
NAU
38%
26%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 0
NAU
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |