Vila Nova vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 1
BRA
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 0
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 3
ASA
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
ARN
1 - 2
VIL
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 2
PPE
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 0
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
PPE
2 - 0
NAU
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ICA
3 - 1
NAU
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
ARN
0 - 0
NAU
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 0
POR
39%
26%
34%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |